Abstract:
This research paper analyzes the impact of climate change on agricultural productivity in quantity
terms, value of production in monetary terms and food security in India. The study undertook state
wise analysis based on secondary data for the duration of 1980 to 2009. Climate variation affects
food grain and non-food grain productivity and both these factors along with other socioeconomic
and government policy variables affect food security. Food security and poverty are interlinked
with each other as cause and effect and vice versa, particularly, for a largely agrarian economy of
India. Regression results for models proposed in this study show that for most of the food grain
crops, non-food grain crops in quantity produced per unit of land and in terms of value of production
climate variation cause negative impact. The adverse impact of climate change on the value of
agricultural production and food grains indicates food security threat to small and marginal farming
households. The state wise food security index was also generated in this study; and econometric
model estimation reveals that the food security index itself also gets adversely affected due to
climatic fluctuations.
